June Daily Check-In
/June 3rd
“The Unnamed Magician’s most recent youtube video about the Open Prediction trick is one of the most unintentionally funny things I’ve ever seen. I almost thought you made it to make fun of him. So it looks like no bet will be happening? 😂”—MW
Sadly no, guys. I offered a wager in my last post on the subject. And I said that the bet can be whatever amount he wants it to be.
A week or so later he emailed me and said he wanted to do the bet for $100,000.
Great! I told him how we could proceed. I was ready to fund an escrow account that day for my half of the wager. And I already had people in his city who could witness the testing. Just as soon as he put up his money.
His response tells us everything we need to know about the type of intellect we're dealing with here. He told me he didn't understand that he would have to put up money too. He said he thought "this was a one-sided bet in the sense that I perform the trick and upon successful completion I get paid. And in the case I don't successfully deliver, I simply don't get paid (not that I have to pay you)."
Yes. Seriously. A "one-sided bet." What the fuck is that? you might be wondering. Don't ask me. I have no clue.
He said he was confused because I said there was "no risk" for him.
Yes. Because he says the trick exists—and we're betting on whether or not the trick exists—so of course (if he's not lying) there's "no risk" for him.
If the trick was real, he would have easily understood why there was no risk for him. But because it doesn't exist, that's why he got confused.
Also, if it's a "one-sided bet"… why stop at $100,000, goofball?
He then fumbled over himself explaining why he wouldn't take the bet. He said he was worried the person who bought it would sue him if he performed it (yet oddly that person allowed him to record it just the week before and put it up on YouTube?). Of course such a clause would never be in the contract to begin with, as you can't prohibit someone from performing an Open Prediction privately for people. Even if you could, there's no way to prove he used the same method that was sold. And most importantly, there's no damages. In fact, if this was verified as a real trick via this bet—this (non-existent) buyer would have a much more valuable item in his collection.
He also told me that on the 3–5% of the time the trick fails, the method gets exposed to the audience. And he didn't want to take the chance of me learning the secret.
Hold on…
Just a sec…
Damn. It doesn't seem like the internet has a gif of someone laughing hard enough to accurately reflect my response to that idea.
Just think… When he was originally selling the trick he said this was "the best thing he's ever created." Since that time he's said:
Nobody would like the method.
Nobody would want to perform it.
The person who spent $60,000 on it didn't like it.
When it doesn't work, the trick doesn't just fail, but the method gets exposed.
Look, I tried my best. I let him choose the bet amount. I sent my people to him. I offered my testing infrastructure. I gave him options so we wouldn't have to pay escrow fees. I told him I would cover any legal fees he incurred from performing the trick. I told him he only had to show an 80% success rate—nowhere near the 97% he claimed. I offered to have Genii magazine do a story on the whole thing—the $100,000 Bet—one that would make me look an idiot and him look a hero for eternity in print.
Sadly, he wouldn't demonstrate the trick despite all of that. Oh well!
June 2nd
Aaron S. brought my attention to this gem from the DFB Facebook group…
A lot of people would consider this corny, manipulative, desperate, beyond pathetic, etc. And they'd be right. Whatever approach you're using to try and get a kiss, the word "Force" should probably not be part of the process. (“Digital” and “Bag” probably shouldn’t factor into it too much either.)
To be honest though, there is nothing more believable than the idea that a person who does strolling magic would have "get a kiss" on their fucking bucket list. "Hmmm…. let's see. I want to cliff dive in Thailand. I want to see the Northern Lights. And hey—if the universe is feeling generous—maybe someday I'll work my way up to a kiss.”
June 1st
Book writing month has officially commenced. But give me a month to write a book, and I will spend the first couple of days dicking around and getting myself set up and finding a rhythm.
Today I was laying out the chapters and the writing schedule for the month and working out my writing stations in the location I'm staying. I don't like to write in one place. And I don't just mean hopping from cafes to parks to libraries. I mean, even when I'm working from home I like to work at a desk, then laying on the couch, then in some sort of standing situation. And I'll switch from one to the next with each section of the piece I'm writing. It's a natural way to mix things up so I'm not stuck at a desk all day, where I usually end up procrastinating.
So today was an axe-sharpening day.
(To be clear, I don't think Lincoln actually ever said that quote. Which is probably a good thing. That's wayyyyyy too much sharpening time. Four hours?? The hell? "Okay, sweetie. I think the axe is probably sharp enough—can we start hitting the tree with it now?" At three hours and 45 minutes there can’t even be much axe left to sharpen. You’re just kind of rattling the handle against a rock at that point.)